According to the Indian GFS model, an upcoming cyclone in West Bengal will likely form over the Bay of Bengal next week. Although it is unclear, international meteorological agencies are predicting this storm. Next October 31 is Kali Puja, and this storm is likely to hit just before Kali Puja. The speed of this storm is showing the possibility of reaching about 140 km per hour.
According to the American GFS model, a cyclonic storm is likely to form over the Bay of Bengal between October 24 and October 26, just ahead of Kali puja at the end of next week. The storm is expected to hit the coastal areas of West Bengal, Odisha, and Bangladesh along the Bay of Bengal. However, nothing is known for sure.
Not only the GFS model but the NCEP model also predicted this cyclone. According to this model, this storm could become a severe cyclone.
Similarly, the IMD ERF model says that a cyclone may form in the Bay of Bengal by October 24 (40 percent chance).
Cyclone in West Bengal: Expected Cyclone Dana may hit before Kali Puja
Generally, when these models indicate the formation of a cyclone, the probability of it occurring is high. And if this cyclone is formed, then it will be called “Dana.” However, meteorologists said nothing can be said correctly yet. They said that if this cyclone hits the coastal areas of West Bengal, it can reach a speed of 120 km per hour. It can reach 130 kmph in Odisha and 100 to 120 kmph in areas adjacent to Barisal in Bangladesh.
Agreeing, Bangladesh meteorologists said that a depression is likely to form over the Bay of Bengal by Tuesday next week. But whether it will eventually turn into a cyclone is yet to be said.
India Meteorological Department DGM Mrityunjay Mohapatra said that there is no possibility of any cyclone for the next seven days. He said that a depression is likely to form in the Andaman Sea by October 20 and another depression will form in the Bay of Bengal by October 22. This low pressure will gradually move northwestward, which may intensify. By October 24, it will become low-pressure. But it is still not possible to say whether it will turn into a cyclone. We are still testing this issue.
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